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Early order completion contract approach to minimize the impact of demand uncertainty on supply chains

机译:提前完成订单合同的方法可以最大程度地减少需求不确定性对供应链的影响

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摘要

Many optimization techniques have been proposed over the years to improve the performance of supply chains. Although these approaches have been shown to be effective, most of them were developed without considering uncertainties in supply chains to simplify the analysis. In fact, uncertainties can deteriorate the performance of supply chains, such as increase in total cost, or drop in fill rate, of the whole system. In distributed supply chains, participating members are not under a sole control by a central authority, the problem is even more stringent due to incomplete information sharing, or so called asymmetrical information sharing. One way to improve the system performance is to achieve coordination among participating parties through establishment of contracts. The objectives of this paper are i) to evaluate the effects of demand uncertainty in a distributed supply chain, which is modelled as an agent-based system; ii) to propose a coordination mechanism with early order completion contract to minimize the negative impacts of demand uncertainty; and iii) to present associated simulation results. Performance of the system is measured in terms of costs and fill rate. Simulation results indicate that the proposed contract approach is able to improve the performance measures of the system.
机译:多年来,已经提出了许多优化技术来改善供应链的性能。尽管这些方法已被证明是有效的,但大多数方法的开发都没有考虑供应链中的不确定性以简化分析。实际上,不确定性可能会使供应链的性能恶化,例如整个系统的总成本增加或填充率下降。在分布式供应链中,参与成员不受中央机构的唯一控制,由于信息共享不完整或所谓的非对称信息共享,这一问题更加严峻。改善系统性能的一种方法是通过建立合同来实现参与方之间的协调。本文的目标是:i)评估分布式供应链中需求不确定性的影响,该模型被建模为基于代理的系统; ii)提出具有提前完成合同的协调机制,以最大程度地减少需求不确定性的负面影响; iii)展示相关的模拟结果。系统的性能是根据成本和填充率来衡量的。仿真结果表明,所提出的合同方法能够改善系统的性能指标。

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