...
【24h】

Connecting the Dots

机译:连接点

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           

摘要

MARKETS ARE efficient, or so we've been told. I am not here to rebut this academic nonsense. But let me give you one of the core reasons markets are—and will remain—inefficient: because human beings are efficient. To function in everyday life, we use our brains to simplify complex problems through heuristics like pattern recognition. We become accustomed to drawing straight lines when we see two points, and if we get a third or fourth point that fits the line, our confidence about the continuity of that line increases exponentially. When we invest in a company, we become excited, even certain, about its prospects after its stock price has gone up for a long period, while we often dismiss stocks that have declined or flatlined, especially if that has happened for a considerable time.
机译:市场效率很高,所以有人告诉我们。我不是在这里反驳这种学术上的废话。但是,让我告诉您,市场效率低下并将保持下去的核心原因之一是:因为人类是有效率的。为了在日常生活中发挥作用,我们使用大脑来通过模式识别等启发式方法简化复杂的问题。当我们看到两个点时,我们习惯于画直线,如果我们得到了适合该线的第三或第四点,我们对该线的连续性的信心就会成倍增加。当我们投资一家公司时,即使股价长期上涨,我们也对它的前景感到兴奋,甚至可以确定,而我们通常会剔除那些跌幅或趋于平缓的股票,尤其是当这种情况已经发生了相当长的时间时。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号