Future Shocks

James Shinn

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Future Shocks

机译：未来的冲击

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Just a few dozen bona fide traders mare their living in the global macro hedge fund world. They manage a $400 billion slice of the $2 trillion total hedge fund pie. I have probably met half of them. Few global macro managers are purely top-down traders. They employ some strategists and economists who think top-down, but global macro traders rarely work from 30,000 feet. They usually begin as specialist tacticians in markets like nonferrous metals, oil or Treasuries.

机译：仅有数十名真正的交易者在全球宏观对冲基金世界中生活。他们管理着对冲基金总规模2万亿美元中的4000亿美元。我可能遇到了其中一半。很少有全球宏观管理者纯粹是自上而下的交易者。他们雇用了一些自上而下的战略家和经济学家，但全球宏观交易员很少在30,000英尺的高空工作。他们通常是从有色金属，石油或国债等市场的专业战术专家开始的。

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来源
《Institutional investor》 |2011年第5期|p.5254-5584-87|共7页
作者
James Shinn;
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作者单位

Princeton University's School of Engineering and Applied Science;

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1. Asymmetric effect of market liquidity demand shocks on price shocks Empirical studies based on the CSI 300 Index and the Futures [J] . Xinzhe Xu, Chaojun Yang, Daolun Chen, 中国金融评论（英文版） . 2013,第004期

机译：市场流动性需求冲击对价格冲击的不对称影响基于沪深300指数和期货的实证研究
2. The importance of extreme shock: Examining the effect of investor sentiment on the crude oil futures market [J] . Wang Lu, Ma Feng, Niu Tianjiao, Energy economics . 2021,第Jula期

机译：极端冲击的重要性：研究投资者情绪对原油期货市场的影响
3. The volatility linkage between energy and agricultural futures markets with external shocks [J] . Han Liyan, Jin Jiayu, Wu Lei, International Review of Financial Analysis . 2020,第Mara期

机译：具有外部冲击的能源和农业期货市场的波动率
4. Short-term real interest, expected inflation and unanticipated monetary policy shock — From the evidence of Shanghai Futures Exchange [C] . Wei Huihui, Zhu Xinrong 2011 International Conference on E-Business and E-Government . 2011

机译：短期实际利率，预期通货膨胀和意料之外的货币政策冲击—来自上海期货交易所的证据
5. Quantifying the effects of oil shocks on long-term public debt: A review of empirical data and a scenario analysis of future projections. [D] . McMichael, Jillian Taylor. 2010

机译：量化石油冲击对长期公共债务的影响：经验数据回顾和对未来预测的情景分析。
6. Effect of Temperature Shock and Inventory Surprises on Natural Gas and Heating Oil Futures Returns [O] . John Wei-Shan Hu, Yi-Chung Hu, Chien-Yu Lin -1

机译：温度冲击和库存意外对天然气和取暖油期货收益的影响
7. Identifying speculative demand shocks in commodity futures markets through changes in volatility [O] . Hachula Michael, Rieth Malte 2017

机译：通过波动性的变化识别商品期货市场的投机性需求冲击
8. PREVENTING FUTURE SHOCK: A Case for Addressing Future Threats to America's National Security. [R] . Bjostad, J. D., Hooten, S. F. 2001

机译：预防未来冲击：应对未来威胁美国国家安全的案例。

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