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Poststeroid Economics

机译:后类固醇经济学

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摘要

During the'80s and '90s, ignorance was bliss. The global economy was growing nicely, and analyzing it (or even paying attention to market cycles) seemed like a waste of time, as the economy came in only three flavors: good, great and awesome. Even if you misread the flavor, the downside was that you'd just make a little less money. Value investors prided themselves on being bottom-up-only analysts, focused on scrutinizing individual stocks, while top-down analysis-making investment decisions by looking only at the macro picture - became unfashionable, viewed as market timing.
机译:在80年代和90年代,无知是幸福。全球经济发展良好,对其进行分析(甚至关注市场周期)似乎是浪费时间,因为经济只有三种口味:好,很棒和很棒。即使您误解了口味,但不利的一面是,您赚的钱少了一点。价值投资者以自己是自下而上的分析师而感到自豪,他们专注于仔细检查单个股票,而仅通过宏观视角进行自上而下的分析制定投资决策,变得不合时宜,被视为市场时机。

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