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Central bank transparency and inflation (volatility) - new evidence

机译:中央银行的透明度和通货膨胀率(波动率)-新证据

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摘要

The last decades have shown a tendency towards higher central bank transparency. This leads to the question of how central bank transparency is entangled with price stability and inflation volatility. A plethora of studies analysed the relationship from a theoretical point of view and came to contradictory results. Thus, the article aims to analyse this question empirically and to better understand the mechanism behind it. Firstly, the results show that transparency reduces inflation expectations and inflation even if we control for other determinants. However, transparency alone is not sufficient to produce stable prices. Secondly, the paper proves that the effect on inflation mainly comes from reduced inflation expectations. Thirdly, we show that central bank transparency seems to diminish inflation uncertainty. This confirms the economic importance of central bank transparency.
机译:最近几十年显示出中央银行透明度提高的趋势。这就引出了一个问题,即中央银行的透明度如何与价格稳定和通胀波动纠缠在一起。大量的研究从理论的角度分析了这种关系,并得出了矛盾的结果。因此,本文旨在实证分析此问题,以更好地理解其背后的机制。首先,结果表明,即使我们控制其他决定因素,透明度也会降低通货膨胀预期和通货膨胀。但是,仅透明性不足以产生稳定的价格。其次,本文证明对通货膨胀的影响主要来自降低的通货膨胀预期。第三,我们表明中央银行的透明度似乎减少了通货膨胀的不确定性。这证实了中央银行透明度的经济重要性。

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