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Central bank policy rates: Are they cointegrated?

机译:中央银行政策利率:它们是协整的吗?

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This paper analyses the stochastic properties of the bilateral linkages between the central bank policy rates of the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques respectively. The univariate analysis suggests a high degree of persistence in all cases: the fractional integration parameter d is estimated to be above 1, ranging from 1.26 (US) to 1.48 (UK), with the single exception of Japan, for which the unit root null cannot be rejected. Concerning the bivariate results, Australian interest rates are found to be cointegrated with the Eurozone and UK ones, Canadian rates with the UK and US ones, and Japanese rates with the UK ones. The increasing degree of integration of international financial markets and the coordinated monetary policy responses following the global financial crisis might both account for such linkages.
机译:本文分别使用分数积分和协整技术分析了美国,欧元区,澳大利亚,加拿大,日本和英国的中央银行政策利率之间的双边联系的随机性。单变量分析表明在所有情况下都具有高度的持久性:分数积分参数d估计大于1,范围从1.26(美国)到1.48(英国),日本除外,其单位根为空不能被拒绝。关于双变量结果,澳大利亚利率与欧元区和英国利率,加拿大利率与英国和美国利率,日本利率与英国利率协整。国际金融市场一体化程度的不断提高以及全球金融危机之后货币政策的协调反应都可能导致了这种联系。

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