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Vulnerability, Crises and Debt Maturity: Do IMF Interventions Increase Reliance on Short-Term Debt?

机译:脆弱性,危机和债务到期日:IMF干预是否会增加对短期债务的依赖?

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摘要

It has been widely argued that excessive short-term debt has been a major cause of recent financial crises. I find evidence that IMF lending programmes on average serve to reduce the maturity of sovereign bond issues, which is an undesirable effect. However, the impact of IMF interventions varies, importantly, across countries which differ according to measures of their fundamental macroeconomic soundness: countries with weak fundamentals tend to lengthen their debt maturities following on the heels of an IMF lending programme. This suggests that the IMF should focus particularly on ensuring that its interventions do not increase incentives for short-term debt issuance in countries not at risk of imminent crisis, but which might put themselves at risk through imprudent borrowing practices.
机译:人们普遍认为,过多的短期债务已成为近期金融危机的主要原因。我发现有证据表明,国际货币基金组织的贷款计划平均有助于减少主权债券发行的期限,这是不希望的结果。但是,IMF干预措施的影响是不同的,重要的是,在各国之间,根据其基本宏观经济稳健性的衡量标准而有所不同:基本面较弱的国家倾向于在紧随IMF贷款计划之后延长债务期限。这表明,国际货币基金组织应特别关注确保其干预措施不会增加那些没有面临迫在眉睫的危机风险的国家的短期债务发行的激励机制,而这可能会由于审慎的借贷行为而使其自身处于风险之中。

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  • 来源
    《International finance》 |2013年第3期|311-331|共21页
  • 作者

    Diego Saravia;

  • 作者单位

    Central Bank of Chile Agustinas 1180 Santiago Chile 8340454;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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