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首页> 外文期刊>Review of international business and strategy >Effect of multilateral trade liberalization on export performance in developing countries: Does aid for trade matter?
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Effect of multilateral trade liberalization on export performance in developing countries: Does aid for trade matter?

机译：多边贸易自由化对发展中国家出口业绩的影响：贸易问题的援助吗？

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Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine empirically whether the impact of multilateral trade liberalization on export performance and export performance convergence in developing countries depends on the amount of Aid for Trade (AfT) flows that accrue to these countries. Export performance is measured by export of goods and services to gross domestic product ratio, whereas export performance convergence refers to the process whereby a developing country's export performance catches up with the world's average export performance. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis has used an unbalanced panel data set covering a sample of 97 developing countries, over the period 2002 to 2015. The two-step system generalized methods of moments has been used to address the question empirically. Findings - Empirical results show that multilateral trade liberalization generates higher export performance and convergence in export performance in developing countries only when it is accompanied by higher AfT flows to developing countries, with a view of helping these countries enhance their trade capacity and reap the opportunities offered by multilateral trade liberalization in the international trade market. Research limitations/implications - These findings indicate that greater access to the international trade market is not sufficient to promote developing countries' export performance and convergence in export performance. Such a promotion could materialize if multilateral trade liberalization is accompanied by higher AfT flows (to enhance these countries' capacity to trade). The findings therefore indicate that the current context of escalation of trade tensions would likely result in lower degree of multilateral trade liberalization, and eventually lower AfT flows to recipient-countries, and ultimately hamper developing countries' export performance and convergence in export performance. Practical implications - The findings therefore indicate that the current context of escalation of trade tensions would likely result in lower degree of multilateral trade liberalization, and eventually lower AfT flows to recipient-countries, and ultimately hamper developing countries' export performance and convergence in export performance. An avenue for future research could be to perform the same analysis when data would be available over a longer time period. Future studies on the matter could also investigate whether the findings obtained apply to components of export performance, including for example manufactured exports and non-manufactured exports. Originality/value - Many papers related to the AfT effectiveness have looked at the effect of AfT inflows on recipient-countries' export performance. However, little attention has been paid to the effect of multilateral trade liberalization on developing countries' export performance and export performance convergence and particularly to whether this effect would depend on the amounts of AfT that would accrue to developing countries to help them develop their trade capacity. To the best of our knowledge, no previous paper has addressed this issue.
机译：目的 - 本研究的目的是审查多边贸易自由化对发展中国家出口绩效和出口业绩融合的影响取决于对这些国家累积的贸易援助金额（船尾）流量。出口绩效是通过向国内生产总值的货物和服务出口来衡量的，而出口业绩融合是指发展中国家出口业绩的过程与世界平均出口绩效赶上。设计/方法/方法 - 分析使用了2002年至2015年期间涵盖了97个发展中国家的样本的不平衡面板数据集。两步系统的时刻普遍性的方法已经用于凭经验解决问题。结果 - 实证结果表明，在发展中国家伴随着高级船尾流动的情况下，多边贸易自由化在发展中国家的出口绩效中产生了更高的出口绩效和融合，才能帮助这些国家提高贸易能力并获得所提供的机会通过多边贸易自由化在国际贸易市场。研究限制/影响 - 这些调查结果表明，更大的访问国际贸易市场是促进发展中国家的出口业绩和出口业绩的趋同。如果多边贸易自由化伴随着更高的船尾流动（以提高这些国家的交易能力），这种促销可能会实现。因此，调查结果表明，贸易紧张局势升级的现行背景可能导致较低程度的多边贸易自由化，最终降低船尾流向受援国，最终妨碍发展中国家的出口业绩和出口业绩趋同。因此，实际意义 - 因此，调查结果表明，当前的贸易紧张局势升级背景可能导致多边贸易自由化程度较低，最终降低到受援国的船尾流动，并最终妨碍发展中国家的出口业绩和趋同。未来研究的途径可能是在更长的时间段内可用数据时执行相同的分析。关于此事的未来研究还可以调查所获得的调查结果是否适用于出口绩效的组成部分，包括制造出口和非制造的出口。原创/价值 - 与AFT效率相关的许多论文都研究了船尾流入对受援国出口业绩的影响。但是，很少关注多边贸易自由化对发展中国家出口绩效和出口业绩融合的影响，特别是这种效果是否依赖于向发展中国家累积的船尾的金额，以帮助他们发展贸易能力。据我们所知，之前的文件没有解决这个问题。

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