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Agent-based decision support for failure-prone networked infrastructures

机译:基于故障的网络基础设施的基于代理的决策支持

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摘要

The operation of existing infrastructures is often inefficient and subject to failures. When a failure occurs, various stakeholders need to make decisions that are specific to the failure type and bear little resemblance to decisions faced during normal operation. In this work, we demonstrate a model-based approach to making rational decisions in such situations. Agent-based models serve as a suitable paradigm for modelling complex sociotechnical systems. Given the broad similarities between different networked infrastructure systems, an ontology has been developed as the foundation for a 'model factory' for such systems. A specific application of this model factory to a refinery supply chain system is described. Further, the use of this simulation model for decision support to manage an abnormal situation in the supply chain is reported.
机译:现有基础架构的运营通常效率低下,并且容易出现故障。发生故障时,各个利益相关者都需要做出针对故障类型的决策,并且与正常运行期间面临的决策几乎没有相似之处。在这项工作中,我们演示了一种基于模型的方法来在这种情况下做出合理的决定。基于主体的模型是对复杂的社会技术系统进行建模的合适范例。考虑到不同网络基础架构系统之间的广泛相似性,已经开发了一种本体作为此类系统的“模型工厂”的基础。描述了该模型工厂在炼油厂供应链系统中的特定应用。此外,据报道,该仿真模型用于决策支持以管理供应链中的异常情况。

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  • 作者单位

    Department of Energy and Industry Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management Delft University of Technology P.O. Box 5015 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands;

    Department of Energy and Industry Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management Delft University of Technology P.O. Box 5015 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands;

    Institute of Chemical and Engineering Sciences 1 Pesek Road, Jurong Island Singapore 627833, Singapore Department of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering National University of Singapore 4 Engineering Drive 4 Singapore 117576, Singapore;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    agent-based modelling; decision support; supply chain management; disturbances; uncertainty;

    机译:基于主体的建模;决策支持;供应链管理;干扰不确定;

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