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A Model Employing the Overlapping Distribution Method to Predict the Success of Engineering Students in Supplementary Examinations

机译:利用重叠分布法预测工科学生补充考试成功的模型

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摘要

A model is proposed based on the statistical concept of the overlapping distribution method (ODM). The model is then applied to estimate the number of students that can be expected to qualify for and to pass supplementary examinations. The ODM prediction model was validated using 19 sets of examination events involving 858 civil engineering students in two different universities. It was found that lowering the mark cut-off criteria from 45 to 40%, increases the number of students that qualify for supplementary examinations, by up to 75%. In turn, the number of students that successfully sit for supplementary examinations, increases by about 40%. The proposed model promises to be useful in informing policy on conflicting issues that arise from balancing the work load under large class sizes on one hand, and offering wider opportunity to as many students as have the potential to pass.
机译:基于重叠分布法(ODM)的统计概念,提出了一种模型。然后,使用该模型来估计可以预期合格并通过补充考试的学生人数。 ODM预测模型使用19套考试事件进行了验证,涉及两所不同大学的858名土木工程专业学生。人们发现,将分数截止标准从45%降低到40%,可以使参加补充考试的学生人数最多增加75%。反过来,成功参加补充考试的学生人数增加了约40%。提出的模型有望在一方面针对因平衡大班制下的工作量而引起的相互矛盾的问题提供政策方面有用的信息,并为尽可能多的有潜力的学生提供更广泛的机会。

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