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An empirical analysis of the impacts of real exchange rate on GDP, manufacturing output and services sector in Mauritius

机译:实证对毛里求斯国内生产总值,制造业和服务业的影响的实证分析

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摘要

The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of the real exchange rate (RER) movements on gross domestic product, manufacturing and services sectors growth in Mauritius. A Vector Autoregressive approach is used which accounts for both dynamics and endogeneity in the exchange-growth modeling. In the growth model, real currency depreciation is observed to be contractionary in the short-run while it is expansionary in the long-run. Conversely, real home currency depreciation has expansionary effect on manufacturing output growth in the short-run while it drops manufacturing output in the long-run. Finally, real domestic currency depreciation has positive long term effect on services sector performance in Mauritius.
机译:本研究的目的是研究实际汇率(RER)运动对毛里求斯国内生产总值,制造业和服务部门增长的影响。使用传染媒介自动增加方法,其占交换增长建模中的动态和内能性。在增长模式中,观察到的实际货币折旧在短期内陷入困境,而长期以来是扩张性的。相反,真正的家庭货币折旧对短期内的制造产出增长的扩张作用,同时在长期下降。最后,真正的国内货币贬值对毛里求斯的服务部门表现产生了积极的长期影响。

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