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European Monetary Policy Surprises: The Aggregate And Sectoral Stock Market Response

机译:欧洲货币政策意外:总体和部门股市反应

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摘要

In this paper we investigate the stock market response to international monetary policy changes in the UK and Germany. Specifically, we analyse the impact of (un)expected changes in the UK and German/Euro area policy rates on the UK and German aggregate and sectoral equity returns in an event study. The decomposition of (un)expected changes in policy rates is based on futures markets. Overall, our results suggest that, the UK monetary policy surprises have a significant negative influence on both aggregate and industry level returns in both countries. The influence of German/Euro area monetary policy shocks appears insignificant for both Germany and the UK.
机译:在本文中,我们调查了英国和德国股市对国际货币政策变化的反应。具体而言,我们在一项事件研究中分析了英国和德国/欧元区政策利率的(意外)变化对英国和德国的总和部门股权收益的影响。政策利率(意外)变化的分解是基于期货市场的。总体而言,我们的结果表明,英国货币政策的出乎意料对两国的总收益和行业水平的收益均具有重大负面影响。对于德国和英国,德国/欧元区货币政策冲击的影响似乎微不足道。

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