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首页> 外文期刊>European Journal of Housing Policy >A Cohort Analysis of US and Japanese Homeownership Rates
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A Cohort Analysis of US and Japanese Homeownership Rates

机译：美国和日本房屋拥有率的队列分析

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摘要

Aggregate data of homeownership rates in the US and Japan, classified by period and by age, are decomposed into age, period, and cohort effects using the Bayesian cohort models which were developed to overcome the identification problem in cohort analysis. The main data-based findings are threefold. First, in both the countries, the age effects are the largest and the period effects are the smallest. Second, US and Japanese age effects are almost identical and consistent with some life cycle theories. Third, cohort effects are larger in the US than in Japan. In particular, the downward trend in the US cohort effects in the case of baby boomers is explained by two hypotheses. Furthermore, some policy implications are provided.
机译：美国和日本的房屋拥有率汇总数据（按时期和年龄分类）使用贝叶斯队列模型分解为年龄，时期和队列效应，该模型旨在克服队列分析中的识别问题。基于数据的主要发现有三方面。首先，在这两个国家中，年龄效应最大，而周期效应最小。其次，美国和日本的年龄效应几乎相同，并且与某些生命周期理论相一致。第三，在美国，同类群组的影响要大于在日本。尤其是，婴儿潮一代的美国队列效应下降趋势由两个假设解释。此外，提供了一些政策含义。

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