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System dynamic approach to hydro-politics in Hirmand transboundary river basin from sustainability perspective

机译:从可持续性角度看希尔曼德跨界河流域水政治的系统动力学方法

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摘要

Water resources play a pivotal role in the development of a region. The study of the hydro-politics of a water resource system clearly is one of the most challenging issues, which a researcher might be faced in his/her academic and technical career due to the complexity and multi-dimensionality of the problem. To tackle the main barriers of studying complex systems, this paper adopts system dynamic approach for a complex transboundary river system shared between Iran and Afghanistan, Hirmand. Various exogenous variables affected and being affected by each other such as soil, water resources, climatic factors, politics, employment, and population throughout the region in general and particularly in the city of Zabol has been investigated. Drawing on system thinking paradigm, the most dominant 'systemic archetypes' have been recognised. According to the results of the study, development planning across the region can no longer be relied on the water.
机译:水资源在一个地区的发展中起着举足轻重的作用。水资源系统的水政治研究显然是最具挑战性的问题之一,由于问题的复杂性和多维性,研究人员可能会在其学术和技术职业中面临这些问题。为了解决研究复杂系统的主要障碍,本文针对伊朗与阿富汗希尔曼德之间共享的复杂跨界河流系统采用系统动力学方法。已经研究了整个地区,尤其是扎博尔市内各种相互影响和相互影响的外生变量,例如土壤,水资源,气候因素,政治,就业和人口。利用系统思维范式,人们已经认识到最主要的“系统原型”。根据研究结果,该地区的发展规划不再依赖于水。

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