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Cost simulation of the private finance initiative project: A case study in a Japanese public housing project

机译:私人融资计划项目的成本模拟:以日本公共住房项目为例

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This paper calculates the costs, including the impact of interest payments, of private finance initiative (PFI) projects using an actual long-term PFI project as a case study. The case study is a PFI public housing project in Japan, including design, construction, minor maintenance and major maintenance (large-scale repairs) costs. The cost simulation takes into account the associated penalty risks of various scenarios for the PFI project. A calculation of the proportion of interest to the total project cost is calculated for each scenario to reveal the impact of interest payments. The key finding of this research is that both shorter minor repair and large-scale repair cycles during the 30-year PFI project produce lower maintenance costs. This research presents comprehensive financial planning for future PFI projects, including maintenance and repair during relatively long-term projects. The results of the cost simulation show that the proportions of the infrastructure development costs are largely consistent in construction grades with different infrastructure development principal costs. Furthermore, the case study confirms that interest payments are dominant in the financing of long-term PFI projects.
机译:本文以一个长期的实际PFI项目为案例,计算了私人融资计划(PFI)项目的成本,包括利息支付的影响。案例研究是日本的PFI公共住房项目,包括设计,施工,小修和大修(大规模维修)费用。成本模拟考虑了PFI项目各种方案的相关罚款风险。针对每种情况,都会计算利息占项目总成本的比例,以显示利息支付的影响。这项研究的主要发现是,在为期30年的PFI项目期间,较小的较小维修和大规模维修周期都可降低维护成本。这项研究提出了未来PFI项目的全面财务计划,包括相对长期项目的维护和维修。成本模拟的结果表明,在具有不同基础设施开发本钱的建筑等级中,基础设施开发成本的比例在很大程度上是一致的。此外,案例研究证实,利息支付在长期PFI项目的融资中占主导地位。

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