Real-Time Probabilistic Prediction of Storm Water Level at Japanese Ports

Hiroyasu Kawai; Noriaki Hashimoto; Masaru Yamashiro

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Real-Time Probabilistic Prediction of Storm Water Level at Japanese Ports

机译：日本港口雨水位的实时概率预测

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This study proposes the framework of real-time "probabilistic" storm water level prediction and then examines the prediction for a model typhoon, which crosses or passes by target ports in Japan's Seto Inland Sea. The prediction includes the storm surge simulation for 109 typhoon tracks and provides the probability of a disastrous storm water level for the port facility and coastal defense.

机译：这项研究提出了实时的“概率性”暴雨水位预测框架，然后检验了一个模拟台风的预测，该台风横穿或经过日本濑户内海的目标港口。该预测包括针对109条台风的风暴潮模拟，并为港口设施和海岸防御提供了灾难性雨水位的可能性。

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来源
《International Journal of Offshore and Polar Engineering》 |2012年第1期|p.30-37|共8页
作者
Hiroyasu Kawai; Noriaki Hashimoto; Masaru Yamashiro;
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作者单位

Marine Information Field, Port and Airport Research Institute Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan;

Faculty of Engineering, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan;

Faculty of Engineering, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类
关键词
typhoon; storm surge; real-time prediction; probability; disaster prevention work;

机译：台风;风暴潮;实时预测可能性;防灾工作;

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Real-Time Probabilistic Prediction of Storm Water Level at Japanese Ports

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