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The nature and outcome of going missing: the challenge of developing effective risk assessment procedures

机译:失踪的性质和后果:制定有效的风险评估程序的挑战

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摘要

Drawing on information from a random sample of over 1,000 cases this paper highlights the variety and complexity of missing person cases, reported to the police. The overwhelming majority of missing persons are found safe and well or are no longer considered as missing. Most return within a short space of time. Some cases, however, are not concluded quickly or with such favourable outcomes. A further sample of cases, which had caused problems for the police, was examined. These cases also revealed a variety of situations, backgrounds and outcomes. Many were immigration cases or had other reasons for wishing to remain 'missing'. Some missing persons, unfortunately, were found dead but many of them had died of natural causes and had died before the police were notified. In view of the variety of cases and the rarity of adverse outcomes it is difficult to develop statistical risk prediction scores as an aid to decision-making. Instead the Association of Chief Police Officers has issued guidance to strengthen police officers' professional judgement in dealing with MISPER (missing person) cases.
机译:本文利用从1,000多个案例中随机抽取的信息,重点介绍了向警方报告的失踪人员案件的多样性和复杂性。绝大多数失踪者被发现平安无事,或不再被视为失踪者。大多数人会在短时间内返回。但是,有些案件并没有很快得出结论或取得如此令人满意的结果。进一步调查了一些给警察造成麻烦的案件。这些案例还揭示了各种情况,背景和结果。许多是移民案件,或有其他原因希望继续“失踪”。不幸的是,一些失踪者被发现死亡,但许多人死于自然原因,并在通知警方之前死亡。考虑到案例的多样性和不良后果的稀有性,很难制定统计风险预测评分来辅助决策。相反,首席警官协会发布了指导,以加强警官在处理MISPER(失踪人员)案件中的专业判断力。

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