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Using fuzzy multiple criteria decision making approach to enhance risk assessment for metropolitan construction projects

机译:使用模糊多准则决策方法增强城市建设项目的风险评估

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摘要

The undertaking of construction projects in metropolitan areas is a risky, competitive, and dynamic proposition requiring a reliable risk assessment model for adequate planning. This study employs a fuzzy multiple criteria decision making (FMCDM) approach to systematically assess risk for a metropolitan construction project. Consistent fuzzy preference relations (CFPR) are used to measure and investigate the relative impact on project performance of twenty identified risk factors included in four risk dimensions. The fuzzy multiple attributes direct rating (FMADR) approach is employed to analyze the occurrence probability of multiple risk factors. Furthermore, the level of risk for the overall project caused by individual risk factor is evaluated with the synthesized analysis of the relative impacts and probability of occurrence. The implementation of FMCDM makes the proposed risk assessment approach more reliable and practical than the traditional statistical approach. The proposed approach can be employed to effectively evaluate the overall project risk, and can be benefited to efficiently identify significant risks of a metropolitan construction project.
机译:在大都市地区进行建设项目是一项风险,竞争和动态的提议,需要可靠的风险评估模型来进行适当的规划。这项研究采用模糊多准则决策(FMCDM)方法来系统地评估都市建设项目的风险。一致的模糊偏好关系(CFPR)用于测量和调查包括在四个风险维度中的二十个已识别风险因素对项目绩效的相对影响。采用模糊多属性直接评价法(FMADR)来分析多种危险因素的发生概率。此外,通过对相对影响和发生概率的综合分析来评估由单个风险因素引起的整个项目的风险水平。 FMCDM的实施使拟议的风险评估方法比传统的统计方法更加可靠和实用。所提出的方法可用于有效评估总体项目风险,并可有益于有效地识别都市建设项目的重大风险。

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