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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Transport Economics/Rivista Internazionale di Economia dei Trasporti >POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A CO_2 AVIATION TAX IN MEXICO ON THE DEMAND FOR TOURISM
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POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A CO_2 AVIATION TAX IN MEXICO ON THE DEMAND FOR TOURISM

机译：墨西哥CO_2航空税收对旅游需求的潜在后果

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摘要

There is limited evidence on the potential consequences of the implementation of a CO2 aviation tax in developing countries. In this paper we analyze the potential impact of a CO2 aviation tax on the inbound tourism demand from the United States, Canada and Europe to Mexico. The methodology consists of a panel cointegration estimation of the demand for international tourism to Mexico. Unlike previous studies we analyze the potential effect of the tax on both tourism expenditure and the number of airplane arrivals. The results indicate an income elasticity of 1.9 for tourism expenditure and 2.9 for the number of airplane tourist. The price elasticities of airplane tourism expenditure and the number of airplane tourists are -0.94 and -0.39, respectively. The difference in price elasticity between tourism expenditure and number of tourists suggest that a CO2 aviation tax in Mexico would lead to a larger adjustment in total expenditure rather than in trip decisions. The implementation of such tax is therefore consistent with a continuous growth of the demand for tourism. Furthermore, the tax has the potential to generate additional fiscal revenue for 163 - 480 million dollars. The price elasticity of the competitive destination highlights the importance of considering a regional agreement for the implementation of an international CO2 aviation tax.
机译：关于发展中国家实施二氧化碳航空税的潜在后果的证据有限。在本文中，我们分析了二氧化碳航空税对从美国，加拿大和欧洲到墨西哥的入境旅游需求的潜在影响。该方法包括对墨西哥国际旅游需求的面板协整估计。与以前的研究不同，我们分析了税收对旅游支出和飞机入境人数的潜在影响。结果表明，旅游支出的收入弹性为1.9，飞机游客的数量为2.9。飞机旅游支出的价格弹性和飞机游客人数分别为-0.94和-0.39。游客支出与游客人数之间的价格弹性差异表明，墨西哥的CO2航空税将导致对总支出进行较大的调整，而不是做出旅行决定。因此，这种税收的实施与旅游需求的持续增长相一致。此外，该税收还可能带来163至4.8亿美元的额外财政收入。竞争目的地的价格弹性凸显了考虑实施国际CO2航空税的区域协议的重要性。

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