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SHRINKING CITIES, SHRINKING HOUSEHOLDS, OR BOTH?

机译:萎缩的城市,萎缩的家庭或两者兼而有之?

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Household size decline accounts for a substantial portion of population loss in shrinking cities, yet little research has focused on it. Much of the literature presents a simple growth/decline binary that is largely determined via population figures. In this paper, we highlight the importance and assess the impact of household size changes on population decline, and determine what types of household size declines are more acute in shrinking cities than other locales. We find that elderly households and households with school-aged children are under-represented in shrinking cities, while households with pre-school-aged children are over-represented. More tellingly, we find the biggest source of household-related loss in shrinking cities to be the growth of single-person households now living in houses that were once home to entire families. These findings puncture the binary on which much of the shrinking cities discourse is based. The population dynamics of most cities are subtler than either practitioners or critical scholars assert. We argue that plans and development strategies for shrinking cities should reflect a range of demographic changes, including outmigration and internal household restructuring.
机译:家庭规模衰退占萎缩城市的大量人口损失,但很少的研究专注于它。大部分文献呈现出一个简单的增长/拒绝二进制,这主要通过人口数据决定。在本文中,我们强调了家庭规模变化对人口衰退的重要性和评估的重要性,并确定了哪些类型的家庭规模下降比其他地区的萎缩萎缩。我们发现,在萎缩的城市中,有老年人和学龄儿童的家庭在萎缩的城市中,而学前班儿童的家庭被过度代表。更有借口,我们发现萎缩城市的家庭相关损失的最大来源,以成为现在居住在整个家庭的房屋中的单人家庭的增长。这些发现穿刺了大部分萎缩城市话语的二进制。大多数城市的人口动态都是子集,而不是从业者或批判学者断言。我们认为城市的计划和发展战略应反映一系列人口变化,包括额外和内部家庭重组。

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