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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Water >Anthropogenic influence on hydrological response in Beijing over nearly 20 years
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Anthropogenic influence on hydrological response in Beijing over nearly 20 years

机译：近二十年来人为因素对北京水文响应的影响

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In this study, a SWAT model (soil and water assessment tool) was calibrated and validated to analyse the Guishui River Basin, China to simulate the hydrological response to human activities. The parameter sensitivity analysis is processed and the uncertainty analysis is evaluated by SUFI-2 (sequential uncertainty fitting program). The reasonable results indicated that human activities had remarkable effects on runoff. The direct effects influenced runoff much more than indirect effects. The indirect effects increased runoff, especially and dramatically during the flood season. The direct effects decreased the runoff coefficient and more obviously during the flood season. The study finds that urbanisation continues to displace more farmland while in turn farmland encroaches on forests and grassland. The increasingly impervious surface has limited the ability of humans to conserve water in the area. Direct and indirect effects occur through different mechanisms, and direct effects play the most important role in changes runoff rates.
机译：在本研究中，对SWAT模型（土壤和水评估工具）进行了校准和验证，以分析中国的hui水河流域，以模拟人类活动的水文响应。处理参数敏感性分析，并通过SUFI-2（顺序不确定度拟合程序）评估不确定度分析。合理的结果表明人类活动对径流有显着影响。直接影响对径流的影响远大于间接影响。间接影响增加了径流量，尤其是在洪水季节。直接影响降低了径流系数，在汛期更为明显。该研究发现，城市化进程继续取代了更多的农田，而农田又侵占了森林和草原。越来越不透水的表面限制了人类节约该地区水的能力。直接和间接影响是通过不同的机制发生的，直接影响在径流率变化中起着最重要的作用。

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