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Monetary policy shocks and exchange rates in Asian countries

机译:亚洲国家的货币政策冲击和汇率

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In this paper, we empirically investigate the effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rates in Asian countries. To do so, we use VAR models which impose sign restrictions on impulse responses to identify monetary policy shocks. We find that contractionary monetary policy shocks lead to significant exchange rate appreciation in Malaysia, the People's Republic of China, and the Republic of Korea. However, in India, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, we find either a significant depreciation or no significant effect. These results suggest that an interest rate increase (or decrease) may not necessarily shield Asian countries from exchange rate depreciation (or appreciation) pressure following a U.S. interest rate increase (or decrease).
机译:在本文中,我们明确调查货币政策冲击对亚洲国家汇率的影响。为此,我们使用var模型,这对脉冲响应施加了符号限制,以确定货币政策冲击。我们发现,难点的货币政策冲击导致马来西亚,中华人民共和国和大韩民国的重大汇率升值。然而,在印度,印度尼西亚,菲律宾和泰国,我们发现重大折旧或没有显着效果。这些结果表明,利率增加(或减少)可能不一定屏蔽亚洲国家在美国利率增加(或减少)之后的汇率贬值(或升值)压力。

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