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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of African Economies >What should we use as a measure of malaria infection risk? Implications from infant mortality during the Liberian Civil War
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What should we use as a measure of malaria infection risk? Implications from infant mortality during the Liberian Civil War

机译：我们应该如何用作疟疾感染风险的衡量标准？利比里亚内战期间婴儿死亡率的影响

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What should we use as a measure of malaria infection risk when examining its impacts on socio-economic outcomes? While endemicity is a natural candidate, it is usually endogenous. An indirect risk measure relying on climatic determinants of malaria and/or vector ecology is more exogenous; however, it may not reflect all factors representing malaria risk. This study addresses this question by focusing on the Liberian civil war. Taking a difference-in-differences approach, it first shows increased infant mortality following wartime pregnancy in malaria-endemic areas, based on respondents' full birth histories provided by the Liberian Demographic and Health Survey (2007 and 2013). This mortality effect is robust and plausible from numerous perspectives, highlighting a country's and/or the citizens' diminished capability to control malaria transmission in wartime. Nevertheless, this effect does not hold once malaria suitability indexes are used as a measure of malaria risk. However, these indirect measures also did not have a relationship supposed to be correct' with a community's temperature and precipitation. Taking these findings together with those provided by prior studies, these direct and indirect measures of malaria risk may be consistent across broad regions in explaining economic outcomes, but not necessarily within a particular country. This remark may serve as an important caution, particularly when analysing countries affected by the large-scale armed conflict and the resulting population displacement.
机译：在检查其对社会经济结果的影响时，我们应该用作疟疾感染风险的衡量标准？虽然他是一种自然候选人，但它通常是内源性的。依赖于疟疾和/或患有疟疾的气候决定因素的间接风险措施更外源;但是，它可能无法反映代表疟疾风险的所有因素。本研究通过重点关注利比里亚内战来解决这个问题。采取差异差异化方法，首先在利比赔人口统计和健康调查（2007年和2013）提供的受访者的患者的患者的患者患者在疟疾妊娠之后患有增加的婴儿死亡率。这种死亡率效应是强大的，从众多角度来看，突出了一个国家和/或公民减少了控制疟疾在战时中的疟疾传播的能力。然而，这种效果并未持有一次疟疾适用性指标作为疟疾风险的衡量标准。然而，这些间接措施也没有关系应该是正确的“，具有社区的温度和降水。将这些调查结果与先前研究提供的那些调查结果一起，这些调查结果可以在广泛的地区中持一致地贯穿经济成果，但不一定在特定国家内。本措辞可以作为一个重要的谨慎谨慎，特别是在分析受大规模武装冲突和所产生的人口流离失所影响的国家时。

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