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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Air Transport Management >Including aviation in the European emissions trading scheme: Impacts on the industry, CO_2 emissions and macroeconomic activity in the EU
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Including aviation in the European emissions trading scheme: Impacts on the industry, CO_2 emissions and macroeconomic activity in the EU

机译：在欧洲排放权交易计划中包括航空：对欧盟行业，CO_2排放量和宏观经济活动的影响

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摘要

In July 2008, motivated by the expected high growth of aviation and the related impacts on climate change, the European Parliament adopted a directive to include airlines in the European Emissions Trading Scheme. This paper discusses possible impacts of this inclusion on the aviation industry in terms of CO_2 emissions and the macroeconomic activity in the EU. The analysis uses the Energy-Environment-Economy Model for Europe, a dynamic simulation model to investigate impacts of the European Emissions Trading Scheme on air transport. The impacts on air transport output and the macroeconomic effects are estimated to be small. This was robust to varying the carbon price. However, air transport CO_2 emissions were expected to decrease by up to 7.4%, which is more than that estimated previously and stems mainly from the supply-side reaction of the industry.
机译：2008年7月，在预期的航空业高速增长以及对气候变化的相关影响的推动下，欧洲议会通过了一项指令，将航空公司纳入欧洲排放权交易计划。本文从欧盟的CO_2排放量和宏观经济活动的角度，讨论了这一包容性对航空业的可能影响。该分析使用了欧洲的能源-环境-经济模型，这是一个动态模拟模型，用于研究《欧洲排放权交易计划》对航空运输的影响。据估计，对航空运输产出的影响和宏观经济影响很小。这对于改变碳价非常有力。但是，预计航空运输的CO_2排放量最多将减少7.4％，这比之前的估计要多，并且主要来自该行业的供应方反应。

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