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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Air Transport Management >Cost-benefit analysis of airport security: Are airports too safe?
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Cost-benefit analysis of airport security: Are airports too safe?

机译:机场安全的成本效益分析:机场是否过于安全?

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This paper assesses the risks and cost-effectiveness of measures designed to further protect airport terminals and associated facilities such as car parks from terrorist attack in the U.S., Europe, and the Asia-Pacific area. The analysis considers threat likelihood, the cost of security measures, hazard likelihood, risk reduction and expected losses to compare the costs and benefits of security measures to decide the optimal security measures to airports. Monte-Carlo simulation methods were used to propagate hazard likelihood, risk reduction and loss uncertainties in the calculation of net benefits that also allows probability of cost-effectiveness to be calculated. It is found that attack probabilities had to be much higher than currently observed to justify additional protective measures. Overall, then, it is questionable whether special efforts to further protect airports are sensible expenditures. Indeed, some relaxation of the measures already in place may well be justified.
机译:本文评估了旨在进一步保护机场航站楼和相关设施(例如停车场)免受美国,欧洲和亚太地区恐怖袭击的措施的风险和成本效益。该分析考虑了威胁可能性,安全措施的成本,危害可能性,风险降低和预期损失,以比较安全措施的成本和收益,从而确定针对机场的最佳安全措施。在计算净收益时,使用了蒙特卡洛模拟方法来传播危害可能性,降低风险和损失不确定性,这也可以计算成本效益的可能性。发现攻击概率必须比当前观察到的高得多,以证明采取其他防护措施的合理性。总体而言,值得怀疑的是,进一步保护机场的特别努力是否合理。确实,放宽已经采取的措施可能是合理的。

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