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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of applied econometrics >The double-edged sword of global integration: Robustness, fragility, and contagion in the international firm network
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The double-edged sword of global integration: Robustness, fragility, and contagion in the international firm network

机译:全球整合的双刃剑:国际公司网络中的鲁棒性,脆弱和蔓延

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摘要

Increased global integration of firm, production, and financial networks has the potential to benefit growth but also amplify the transmission of crises. We test whether higher global connectedness is associated with robust (beneficial) or fragile (harmful) behavior using networks derived from firm equity returns across all industries (1991-2016). More globally connected firms are less likely to be in distress, with higher profit, revenue, and equity price growth; however, they are more exposed to direct contagion from distressed neighboring firms. Our analysis reveals the centrality of finance, increased globalization, and greater potential for crises to spread globally when they do occur.
机译:增加了全球融合企业,生产和金融网络的融合,有可能效益增长,但也扩大了危机的传播。 我们测试更高的全局关联是否与使用跨所有行业的企业股权回报的网络(1991-2016)相关的鲁棒(有益)或易碎(有害)行为相关联。 更多全球连通的公司不太可能处于遇险,利润率更高,收入和股权价格增长; 然而,他们更接触到从陷入困境的邻国的直接传染。 我们的分析揭示了金融,全球化的中心地位,危机的巨大潜力在他们确实发生时在全球范围内传播。

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