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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of applied econometrics >DYNAMICS AND EQUILIBRIUM IN A STRUCTURAL MODEL OF WIDE-BODY COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT MARKETS
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DYNAMICS AND EQUILIBRIUM IN A STRUCTURAL MODEL OF WIDE-BODY COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT MARKETS

机译:大型商用飞机市场结构模型中的动力学和平衡

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摘要

This paper develops and estimates a dynamic equilibrium model of the market for new and used commercial aircraft. The model is estimated by maximum simulated likelihood using data on wide-body aircraft owners and prices for transactions occurring 1978-1997. The importance of explicitly modeling dynamics and equilibrium in new and used markets for durable goods is illustrated in two counterfactual experiments. Estimates of the structural model are used to show that implementing an investment tax credit not only increases demand for new wide-body aircraft by the airlines that receive the tax credit, but also increases the number of new wide-body aircraft owned by airlines not directly affected by the policy. Further, the model indicates that a policy which improves the efficiency of secondary markets for used wide-body aircraft will also stimulate demand for new wide-body aircraft.
机译:本文开发并估算了新旧飞机市场的动态平衡模型。该模型是使用1978年至1997年发生的交易中的宽体飞机所有者和价格通过最大模拟可能性估计的。在两个反事实实验中说明了在耐用品的新市场和二手市场中明确建立动力学和均衡模型的重要性。通过对结构模型的估计,可以看出,实施投资税收抵免不仅会增加获得税收抵免的航空公司对新型宽体飞机的需求,而且还会增加非直接拥有的航空公司拥有的新型宽体飞机的数量受政策影响。此外,该模型表明,一项提高二手宽体飞机二级市场效率的政策也将刺激对新型宽体飞机的需求。

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  • 来源
    《Journal of applied econometrics》 |2012年第1期|p.1-33|共33页
  • 作者

    LOREN K. SMITH;

  • 作者单位

    Federal Trade Commission, Washington, DC, USA Department of Bureau of Economics, 601 New Jersey Ave. NW, Washington. DC 2001, USA;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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