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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists >The Effects of Weather on Recreational Fishing Demand and Adaptation: Implications for a Changing Climate
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The Effects of Weather on Recreational Fishing Demand and Adaptation: Implications for a Changing Climate

机译：天气对休闲捕鱼需求和适应的影响：对气候变化的影响

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摘要

Outdoor recreation is one of the most popular leisure activities in the United States, yet the potential impacts of climate change on the nonmarket aspects of this activity are largely unknown or poorly understood. We estimate the nonlinear effects of temperature and precipitation on the demand for a significant segment of the outdoor recreation economy-shoreline marine recreational fishing in the Atlantic and Gulf Coast regions-from 2004 to 2009. Our econometric estimates suggest that extreme heat significantly reduces recreation participation. We find declines in participation (up to 15%) and welfare (up to $312 million annually) over a range of predicted climate futures. These impacts vary spatially and temporally, with warmer locations and times of year experiencing significant losses and gains possible in cooler areas. We also find evidence of climate-averting behavior as anglers shift their activities to nighttime rather than fish less frequently to mitigate the negative impacts from extreme heat.
机译：户外休闲是美国最受欢迎的休闲活动之一，然而，气候变化对该活动的非市场方面的潜在影响却鲜为人知或鲜为人知。我们估计2004年至2009年期间，温度和降水量对大西洋和墨西哥湾沿岸地区大部分户外休闲经济-海岸线海洋休闲捕鱼需求的非线性影响。我们的计量经济学估计表明，极热会大大减少休闲参与。我们发现在一系列预计的气候未来中，参与度（最多下降15％）和福利（每年最多减少3.12亿美元）下降。这些影响在空间和时间上会有所不同，温暖的地区和一年中的时间会在较凉爽的地区遭受重大损失和收益。我们还发现了气候平均行为的证据，因为钓鱼者将活动转移到夜间，而不是减少捕鱼次数，以减轻极端高温带来的负面影响。

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