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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists >The Intersection between Climate Adaptation, Mitigation, and Natural Resources: An Empirical Analysis of Forest Management
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The Intersection between Climate Adaptation, Mitigation, and Natural Resources: An Empirical Analysis of Forest Management

机译：气候适应，减缓与自然资源之间的交叉点：森林经营的实证分析

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摘要

Forest landowners can adapt to climate change and carbon pricing by altering the types of forests that are replanted or regenerated. By inducing land-use changes within forestry, climate adaptation and mitigation policy can alter the flow of nonmarket forest ecosystem services. The purpose of this paper is to quantify the effect of climate change and carbon pricing on adaptation behavior of private forest owners. We develop an empirical framework with application to the US Pacific coast. An estimated discrete-choice econometric model is used as the empirical basis for a simulation of land-use changes to the composition of a landscape's forest stock. Results indicate that climate change induces landowners to adapt away from their current dominant species choice of Douglas-fir to species more suitable for the future climate, notably hardwoods and ponderosa pine. A carbon price policy accelerates adaptation away from current forest types, potentially creating an externality at the local level.
机译：森林地主可以通过改变补种或再生森林的类型来适应气候变化和碳定价。通过在林业中引起土地利用变化，气候适应和减缓政策可以改变非市场森林生态系统服务的流动。本文的目的是量化气候变化和碳定价对私有林所有者适应行为的影响。我们开发了适用于美国太平洋沿岸地区的经验框架。估计的离散选择计量经济学模型用作模拟土地利用对景观森林资源组成的变化的经验基础。结果表明，气候变化促使土地所有者从其目前的花旗松主要优势物种选择中适应更适合未来气候的物种，特别是硬木和黄松。碳价政策加速了对当前森林类型的适应，有可能在地方层面造成外部性。

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