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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists >The Dollars and Sense of Ballot Propositions: Estimating Willingness to Pay for Public Goods Using Aggregate Voting Data
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The Dollars and Sense of Ballot Propositions: Estimating Willingness to Pay for Public Goods Using Aggregate Voting Data

机译：美元和投票提议的意义：使用汇总投票数据估算支付公共物品的意愿

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摘要

This paper develops a new approach for estimating willingness to pay (WTP) for public goods using referendum voting data, and we demonstrate the approach by applying it to a series of referenda in California spanning a wide array of public goods. We find a range of annual WTP values for successful propositions from $3.47 per person for children's hospitals to $94.48 per person for transportation infrastructure and management. We also impute the per capita cost of each proposition. Comparing these imputed costs to our WTP measure allows us to infer the upper bound on prices that would still ensure passage of a successful measure. Conversely, this comparison provides an estimate of the decrease in prices that would have been necessary to ensure passage of unsuccessful propositions. In addition, we estimate the relative effects of prices, income, and ideology on the support for public goods. We show that both ideology and economic costs have significant impacts, which stands in contrast to previous work that contends that voting patterns are driven purely by fiscal costs.
机译：本文开发了一种使用全民投票数据估算公共物品支付意愿（WTP）的新方法，并且我们通过将其应用于加利福尼亚州一系列涉及多种公共物品的全民投票中来演示该方法。我们发现成功提议的年度WTP值范围从儿童医院的每人3.47美元到交通基础设施和管理的每人94.48美元。我们还估算了每个提议的人均成本。将这些估算成本与我们的WTP指标进行比较，可以推断出价格上限，这仍将确保通过一项成功的指标。相反，这种比较提供了价格下降的估计，这是确保通过不成功的提议所必需的。另外，我们估计价格，收入和意识形态对公共产品支持的相对影响。我们证明，意识形态和经济成本都具有重大影响，这与以前的工作形成鲜明对比，后者先前的工作认为投票方式纯粹是由财政成本驱动的。

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