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Leaders, followers, and equity risk premiums in booms and busts

机译:繁荣与萧条中的领导者,追随者和股票风险溢价

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摘要

We study an investment problem in which two asymmetric firms face competition and the regime characterizing the economic condition follows a Markov switching process. We derive the value functions and investment thresholds of the leader and follower. The option value of regime uncertainty is found to be quite important for the investment decision of firms. We also show the relationship between the equity risk premium and the economic cycle that has not been done in previous studies, which proxy economic conditions by the level of demand or other state variables. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:我们研究了一个投资问题,其中两个不对称的公司面临竞争,并且表征经济状况的体制遵循马尔可夫转换过程。我们得出领导者和追随者的价值函数和投资门槛。人们发现,制度不确定性的期权价值对于企业的投资决策非常重要。我们还显示了股权风险溢价与经济周期之间的关系,这在以前的研究中并未完成,后者通过需求水平或其他状态变量来替代经济状况。 (C)2016 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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