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Macroeconomic announcements and asymmetric volatility in bond returns

机译:宏观经济公告和债券收益率不对称波动

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摘要

This study analyses the impact of macroeconomic news announcements on the conditional volatility of bond returns. Using daily returns on the 1, 3, 5 and 10 year US Treasury bonds, we find that announcement shocks have a strong impact on the dynamics of bond market volatility. Our results provide empirical evidence that the bond market incorporates the implications of macroeconomic announcement news faster than other information. Moreover, after distinguishing between types of macroeconomic announcements, releases of the employment situation and producer price index are especially influential at the intermediate and long end of the yield curve, while monetary policy seem to affect short-term bond volatility.
机译:这项研究分析了宏观经济新闻公告对债券收益率条件波动的影响。使用1年,3年,5年和10年期美国国债的每日收益,我们发现公告冲击对债券市场波动的动态有很大影响。我们的结果提供了经验证据,表明债券市场比其他信息更快地纳入了宏观经济公告消息的影响。此外,在区分了宏观经济宣布的类型之后,就业状况和生产者价格指数的释放在收益率曲线的中长期特别有影响,而货币政策似乎会影响短期债券的波动性。

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