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The Role of Impulses in Shaping Decisions

机译:冲动在决策中的作用

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This paper explores the extent to which decision behavior is shaped by short-lived reactions to the outcome of the most recent decision. We inspected repeated decision-making behavior in two versions of each of two decision-making tasks, an individual task and a strategic one. By regressing behavior onto the outcomes of recent decisions, we found that the upcoming decision was well predicted by the most recent outcome alone, with the tendency to repeat a previous action being affected both by its actual outcome and by the outcomes of actions not taken. Because the goodness of predictions based on the most recent outcome did not diminish as participants gained experience with the task, we conclude that repeated decisions are continuously affected by impulsive reactions.
机译:本文探讨了对最新决策结果的短暂反应对决策行为的影响程度。我们检查了两个决策任务的两个版本中的重复决策行为,分别是一个单独的任务和一个战略任务。通过将行为回归到最近决策的结果,我们发现仅通过最近的结果就可以很好地预测即将做出的决策,并且重复执行先前操作的趋势会受到其实际结果和未采取措施的结果的影响。因为随着参与者获得该任务的经验,基于最新结果的预测的优缺点并没有减少,所以我们得出结论,重复的决策会持续受到冲动反应的影响。

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