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PERFORMANCE EVALUATION: ANOTHER USE OF POINT SPREADS?

机译:性能评估:点差的另一个用途?

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摘要

Point spreads have long served to divide the betting public in half and turn transaction fees into risk-free returns for gambling operators. Researchers are now awakening to the fact that point spreads-as a reliable source of information-can have other important uses. A recent paper linked the rankings of college football teams in the USA Today and AP polls with their performances against the spread. Our study used the same criterion to judge the effectiveness of managers-specifically, college football coaches. The result was a pointwise record for the 38 coaches with a minimum tenure of five years and the illumination of the profession's Top 5 and Bottom 5 members.
机译:长期以来,点差一直可以将博彩公众一分为二,并将交易费用变成赌博运营商的无风险回报。研究人员现在意识到,点传播作为一种可靠的信息来源,可以具有其他重要用途。最近的一篇论文将《今日美国》和美联社民意测验中大学橄榄球队的排名与他们的表现联系起来。我们的研究使用相同的标准来判断经理(尤其是大学橄榄球教练)的有效性。结果是38位教练的点点记录,他们的任期至少为5年,并且该职业的前5名和后5名成员都受到了启发。

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