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Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions during urbanization: A comparative study between China and Japan

机译：城市化过程中的二氧化碳排放量：中日比较研究

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摘要

As the world's largest emitter of CO2, China is facing increasing domestic and international pressures on emissions mitigation. Considering Japan's leading position in energy conservation, this paper conducts a comparative study between China and Japan at the urbanization stages to analyze the similarities as well as differences of influencing factors of CO2 emissions. Results indicate that although CO2 emissions in Japan and China showed the similar characteristics of rigid growth during the urbanization processes, significant differences exist in factors such as CO2 emissions per capita, energy structure and energy intensity between the two countries, which are the determinants for CO2 emissions growth. A cointegration model is constructed to examine the long-run equilibrium relationship between CO2 emissions and factors including GDP, urbanization level, energy intensity and cement manufacture. Empirical results show that there is a quadratic relationship between income growth and CO2 emissions. Granger causality test is then adopted to explore the causal relationships among the variables. The future CO2 emissions and emission reduction potentials in China are estimated based on scenario analysis. Finally, Japan's valuable experience of reducing energy intensity and optimizing energy structure is concluded to provide important policy implications for China's strategic low-carbon planning and low carbon transition. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译：作为世界上最大的二氧化碳排放国，中国在缓解排放方面面临着越来越多的国内外压力。考虑到日本在节能方面的领先地位，本文在城市化阶段对中日进行了比较研究，以分析影响CO2排放的因素之间的相似之处和不同之处。结果表明，尽管日本和中国的CO2排放在城市化过程中呈现出刚性增长的相似特征，但两国之间的人均CO2排放，能源结构和能源强度等因素之间仍存在显着差异。排放量增长。建立了一个协整模型，以检验CO2排放与GDP，城市化水平，能源强度和水泥生产等因素之间的长期均衡关系。实证结果表明，收入增长与二氧化碳排放之间存在二次关系。然后采用格兰杰因果关系检验来探讨变量之间的因果关系。根据情景分析估算了中国未来的二氧化碳排放量和减排潜力。最后，总结了日本在降低能源强度和优化能源结构方面的宝贵经验，为中国的战略性低碳规划和低碳转型提供了重要的政策含义。 （C）2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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  • 来源
    《Journal of Cleaner Production》 |2017年第1期|356-368|共13页
  • 作者

    Ouyang Xiaoling; Lin Boqiang;

  • 作者单位

    East China Normal Univ, Fac Econ & Management, Sch Econ, Dept Econ, Shanghai 200062, Peoples R China;

    Xiamen Univ, Sch Management, China Inst Studies Energy Policy, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Energy Econ & Energy Polic, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Carbon dioxide emissions; Urbanization; China; Japan;

    机译：二氧化碳排放;城市化;中国;日本;

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