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Optimization of urban industrial structure under the low-carbon goal and the water constraints: a case in Dalian, China

机译:低碳目标和缺水条件下的城市产业结构优化-以大连为例

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摘要

Rapid industrial development consumes a large amount of water and energy, which causes both urban water shortages and massive carbon emissions. Therefore, optimization of the urban industrial structure is urgently required to pursue the low-carbon goal under the constraints of water supply. In this paper, we chose Dalian city in China as a case study and divided its industrial sectors into three types according to their output value. Meanwhile, we used the LMDI (Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index) method to decompose the factors that impact industrial carbon emissions from energy consumption. Based on the ratio of the carbon emission effects, five scenarios were set respectively, and accounted for the carbon emissions and water consumption under different scenarios of industrial structure. The results indicated that the economic growth effect was the most significant factor that contributed to industrial carbon emissions, while industrial structure effect was the largest negative factor for increasing industrial carbon emissions. The results also indicated that the total carbon emissions under the HOV (high output-value)-preferred and water-conserved scenario will be lower by 8.5% in 2020 than the baseline scenario, while both its energy intensity and water intensity will meet the requirements of the constraints of the urban development planning. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:快速的工业发展消耗了大量的水和能源,这导致城市缺水和大量碳排放。因此,迫切需要优化城市产业结构,以在供水受限的情况下追求低碳目标。在本文中,我们以中国大连市为例,将其工业部门按其产值分为三类。同时,我们使用LMDI(对数均值指数)方法分解了影响能源消耗中工业碳排放的因素。根据碳排放效应的比值,分别设定了五个情景,并考虑了不同产业结构情景下的碳排放和水消耗。结果表明,经济增长效应是造成工业碳排放量最大的因素,而产业结构效应是增加工业碳排放量的最大负面因素。结果还表明,到2020年,HOV(高产值)优先和节水方案下的总碳排放量将比基准方案低8.5%,而其能源强度和水强度都将达到要求限制城市发展规划。 (C)2015 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Journal of Cleaner Production》 |2016年第15期|323-333|共11页
  • 作者单位

    Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;

    Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;

    Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;

    Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Carbon emission; Water consumption; Industrial structure; LMDI; Scenario analysis; Dalian;

    机译:碳排放;耗水量;产业结构;LMDI;情景分析;大连;

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