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A realistic pathway for coal-fired power in China from 2020 to 2030

机译：从2020年到2030年中国燃煤电力的现实途径

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摘要

While long-term coal transition is clear, the short and medium-term coal-fired power development in China is more uncertain. Therefore, the development pathways of coal-fired power in China after 2020 were widely discussed. Based on the unit-based coal-fired power data, this paper explored the optimized pathway of China's coal-fired power from 2020 to 2030 at the provincial level. Considering national development goals, interprovincial transmissions, and other physical limits in power planning, our model integrated the supply and demand side to assess a reasonable capacity of coal-fired power in 2030. The results and robust analysis indicate that China's coal-fired power capacity in 2030 may stay around 1100 GW. Furthermore, future policies and regulations to deliver this pathway are also proposed. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译：虽然长期煤炭过渡是明确的，但中国的短期和中期燃煤电力发展更不确定。因此，在2020年后中国在中国的发展途径被广泛讨论。该论文根据基于单位的燃煤电力数据，探讨了中国省级2020年至2030年的中国燃煤电力的优化途径。考虑到国家的发展目标，剧剧传输和电力规划中的其他物理限制，我们的模型综合供应和需求方面评估了2030年的燃煤电力的合理能力。结果和稳健的分析表明中国的燃煤电力能力2030年，可以保持1100 GW。此外，还提出了未来的递送这条路的政策和法规。 （c）2020 elestvier有限公司保留所有权利。

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  • 来源
    《Journal of Cleaner Production》 |2020年第2期|122859.1-122859.8|共8页
  • 作者

    Zhang Wenhua; Yan Qingyou; Yuan Jiahai; He Gang; Teng Tian-Lih; Zhang Meijuan; Zeng Ying;

  • 作者单位

    North China Elect Power Univ Sch Econ & Management Beijing 102206 Peoples R China;

    North China Elect Power Univ Sch Econ & Management Beijing 102206 Peoples R China|North China Elect Power Univ Beijing Key Lab New Energy & Low Carbon Dev Beijing 102206 Peoples R China;

    North China Elect Power Univ Sch Econ & Management Beijing 102206 Peoples R China|North China Elect Power Univ Beijing Key Lab New Energy & Low Carbon Dev Beijing 102206 Peoples R China;

    SUNY Stony Brook Coll Engn & Appl Sci Dept Technol & Soc Stony Brook NY 11790 USA;

    SUNY Stony Brook Coll Engn & Appl Sci Dept Technol & Soc Stony Brook NY 11790 USA;

    North China Elect Power Univ Sch Econ & Management Beijing 102206 Peoples R China;

    State Grid Sichuan Elect Power Co State Grid Mianyang Elect Power Co Mianyang 621000 Sichuan Peoples R China;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Coal-fired power; Reasonable capacity; China;

    机译：燃煤电力;合理的能力;中国;

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