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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of comparative economics >Can television bring down a dictator? Evidence from Chile's 'No' campaign
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Can television bring down a dictator? Evidence from Chile's 'No' campaign

机译：电视可以推翻独裁者吗？智利“否”运动的证据

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摘要

Can televised political advertising change voting behavior in elections held in authoritarian regimes? We study the case of Chile, where the opposition used television campaigns weeks before the election that ended the seventeen-year dictatorship known as the Pinochet regime. Using national surveys conducted before the election and administrative electoral data, we provide evidence of a positive effect of television exposure on opposition votes. When compared to similar estimates in democracies, the effect of campaigns in Chile appear large. These results suggest that televised political campaigns can help to defeat dictators at the polls.
机译：电视广告可以改变独裁政权选举中的投票行为吗？我们以智利为例，反对派在大选前几周利用电视竞选活动结束了长达十七年的皮诺切特政权。通过使用在选举之前进行的全国调查和行政选举数据，我们提供了电视曝光对反对派选票产生积极影响的证据。与民主国家的类似估计相比，智利的竞选活动似乎影响很大。这些结果表明，通过电视进行的政治运动可以帮助在民意测验中击败独裁者。

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