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The role of the European small ruminant dairy sector in stabilising global temperatures: lessons from GWP~* warming-equivalent emission metrics

机译:欧洲小型反刍动物乳品部门在稳定全球气温方面的作用:GWP〜*温暖等价排放度量的课程

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摘要

Recent calls advocate that a huge reduction in the consumption of animal products (including dairy) is essential to mitigate climate change and stabilise global warming below the 1.5 and 2°C targets. The Paris Agreement states that to stabilise temperatures we must reach a balance between anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases (GHG) in the second half of this century. Consequently, many countries have adopted overall GHG reduction targets (e.g. EU, at least 40% by 2030 compared to 1990). However, using con-ventional metric-equivalent emissions (CO_2-e GWP_(100)) as the basis to account for emissions does not result in capturing the effect on atmospheric warming of changing emission rates from short-lived GHG (e.g. methane: CH_4), which are the main source of GHG emissions by small ruminants. This shortcoming could be solved by using warming-equivalent emis-sions (CO_2-we, GWP~*), which can accurately link annual GHG emission rates to its warming effect in the atmosphere. In our study, using this GWP~* methodology and different modelling approaches, we first examined the historical (1990-2018) contribution of European dairy small ruminant systems to additional atmosphere warming levels and then studied different emission target scenarios for 2100. These scenarios allow us to envision the necessary reduc-tion of GHG emissions from Europe's dairy small ruminants to achieve a stable impact on global temperatures, i.e. to be climatically neutral. Our analysis showed that, using this type of approach, the whole European sheep and goat dairy sector seems not to have contributed to additional warming in the period 1990-2018. Considering each subsector separately, increases in dairy goat production has led to some level of additional warming into the atmos-phere, but these have been compensated by larger emission reductions in the dairy sheep sector. The estimations of warming for future scenarios suggest that to achieve climate neu-trality, understood as not adding additional warming to the atmosphere, modest GHG reduc-tions of sheep and goat GHG would be required (e.g. via feed additives). This reduction would be even lower if potential soil organic carbon (SOC) from associated pastures is considered.
机译:最近的呼吁倡导动物产品消费量(包括乳制品)的巨大减少对于减轻气候变化,稳定在1.5和2°C下方的全球变暖方面是必不可少的。巴黎协定表示,为了稳定温度,我们必须在本世纪下半叶通过温室气体(GHG)的汇率下降和移除的人为排放的平衡。因此,许多国家已采用总体温室气体减少目标(例如欧盟,与1990年至少40%到2030%)。然而,使用Con-Ventalal公制等效的排放(CO_2-E GWP_(100))作为解释排放的基础不会导致捕获对从短寿温(例如甲烷:CH_4)改变发射率的大气预热的影响(例如:CH_4 ),这是小反刍动物温室气体排放的主要来源。可以通过使用温暖等效的EMIS-SIONS(CO_2-WE,GWP〜*)来解决这种缺点,这可以准确地将年度温室气体排放率与其在大气中的变暖效果中联系起来。在我们的研究中,使用此GWP〜*方法和不同的建模方法,我们首先审查了欧洲乳制品小型反刍动物系统的历史(1990-2018)贡献,以额外的气氛变暖水平,然后研究了2100的不同排放目标场景。这些情况允许我们设想欧洲乳制品小反刍动物的必要GHG排放,以实现对全球气温的稳定影响,即气候中立。我们的分析表明,使用这种方法,整个欧洲绵羊和山羊乳制品部门似乎没有促进1990 - 2018年期间的额外变暖。分别考虑每个子级,乳制品山羊生产的增加导致了一定程度的额外变暖进入了Atmos-Phere,但这些额外的额外变暖了,但这些已经通过奶制绵羊部门的更大排放减排来得到补偿。对未来情景变暖的估计表明,为了实现气候Neu-tribity,理解为不增加对大气的额外变暖,需要适度的温室气体的羊和山羊GHG(例如饲料添加剂)。如果考虑来自相关牧场的潜在土壤有机碳(SoC),则这种减少将降低。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Journal of dairy research》 |2021年第1期|8-15|共8页
  • 作者单位

    Basque Centre For Climate Change (BC3) 48940 Leioa Spain;

    Basque Centre For Climate Change (BC3) 48940 Leioa Spain Global Change and Conservation Lab Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Program Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland Helsinki Institute of Sustainability Science (HELSUS) Faculty of Biological andEnvironmental Sciences University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland;

    Basque Centre For Climate Change (BC3) 48940 Leioa Spain;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Climate neutrality; GHG; Global warming potential; GWP~*; methane;

    机译:气候中立;温室气体;全球变暖潜力;gwp〜*;甲烷;

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