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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of decision systems >The effects of using system dynamics-based decision support models: testing policy-makers' boundaries in a complex situation
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The effects of using system dynamics-based decision support models: testing policy-makers' boundaries in a complex situation

机译:使用基于系统动力学的决策支持模型的效果:在复杂情况下测试决策者的边界

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摘要

Systems thinking and computer-based modelling systems are widely recognised as effective for solving complex problems, particularly for the potential changes they can trigger in decision-makers' perception of where problems' boundaries lie. Surprisingly, few studies have analysed their empirical effects on decision-making. This paper explores the effects of the use of a system dynamics-based decision support system (DSS) by decision-makers, focusing on boundary judgements, which indicate what issues and stakeholders are to be included in the decision analysis. The data were obtained from an experiment with 40 policy-makers, using a simulated case approach that focused on the complex biotechnology intellectual property system. They suggest that the use of such a DSS favours both the analysis of a greater range of perspectives and broader stakeholder participation, but does not strengthen either interdisciplinary integration or depth of stakeholder participation.
机译:系统思维和基于计算机的建模系统被公认为有效解决复杂问题的方法,尤其是对于潜在的变化,这些变化可能导致决策者感知问题的边界所在。令人惊讶的是,很少有研究分析其对决策的实证影响。本文探讨了决策者使用基于系统动力学的决策支持系统(DSS)的影响,重点是边界判断,这些判断指出了哪些问题和利益相关者将被包括在决策分析中。数据来自40位决策者的实验,采用了模拟案例方法,重点关注复杂的生物技术知识产权制度。他们认为,使用这样的DSS既有利于分析更大范围的观点,也有利于利益相关者更广泛的参与,但并不能加强学科间的整合或利益相关者参与的深度。

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