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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization >Market evidence against widespread point shaving in college basketball
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Market evidence against widespread point shaving in college basketball

机译：反对大学篮球普遍刮胡的市场证据

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摘要

This paper proposes using market-based information to investigate the likelihood of widespread point shaving in college basketball games with strong favorites. Information embodied in pre-game money lines facilitates the calculation of the market's expectation that the game will end with a strong favorite winning but not covering the point spread, a result deemed suspicious in previous studies. Additional market-based information embodied in second-half lines reveal how the market's expectation about second-half play differs from pre-game expectations. Applying our methodology to college basketball reduces previous estimates of the percentage of games thought to be consistent with potential point shaving to insignificant levels. Our approach can apply to other sports in which strong favorites are common.
机译：本文建议使用基于市场的信息来调查在具有强烈偏爱的大学篮球比赛中普遍刮胡的可能性。赛前资金线中包含的信息有助于计算市场的预期，即游戏将以强势的最喜欢的获胜而结束，但没有覆盖点差，这一结果在以前的研究中被认为是可疑的。下半场中体现的其他基于市场的信息揭示了市场对下半场的期望与赛前期望有何不同。将我们的方法应用于大学篮球会减少以前对比赛百分率的估计，认为与潜在得分减少相关的水平很小。我们的方法可以适用于其他最受喜爱的运动。

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