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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control >A new look at variation in employment growth in Canada: The role of industry, provincial, national and external factors
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A new look at variation in employment growth in Canada: The role of industry, provincial, national and external factors

机译:加拿大就业增长变化的新视角:行业,省,国家和外部因素的作用

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摘要

We examine fluctuations in employment growth using Canadian data from 1976 to 2010. We consider a wide range of models and examine the sensitivity of our findings to modelling assumptions. The results from our most preferred model, which we selected using the Bayesian Information Criteria, indicate that most of the variance in employment growth that is not due to the idiosyncratic error comes from domestic sources, with most of this coming from industry and provincial factors. Overall, we find that external and national factors play a much smaller role in employment fluctuations than in earlier research. We provide some possible explanations for these differences and discuss the implications of our findings for public policy and theory.
机译:我们使用1976年至2010年的加拿大数据来研究就业增长的波动。我们考虑了各种模型,并研究了我们的发现对模型假设的敏感性。我们使用贝叶斯信息准则选择的最优选模型的结果表明,并非因特质误差引起的就业增长差异大部分来自国内来源,其中大部分来自行业和省级因素。总的来说,我们发现外部和国家因素在就业波动中的作用要比早期研究小得多。我们为这些差异提供了一些可能的解释,并讨论了我们的发现对公共政策和理论的影响。

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