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Trend inflation, sticky prices, and expectational stability

机译:趋势通胀,粘性价格和预期稳定性

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摘要

Micro evidence indicates that each period a fraction of prices is kept unchanged under a positive trend inflation rate. In a sticky price model based on this evidence, recent research shows that high trend inflation is a serious cause for indeterminacy of rational expectations equilibrium under the Taylor rule. This paper examines implications of trend inflation for expectational stability of the equilibrium. An empirically plausible calibration of the model demonstrates that a fundamental rational expectations equilibrium is likely to be expectationally stable even in cases of indeterminacy induced by high trend inflation.
机译:微观证据表明,每个时期的一部分价格在正趋势通货膨胀率下保持不变。在基于此证据的粘性价格模型中,最近的研究表明,高趋势通货膨胀是泰勒规则下理性预期均衡不确定性的严重原因。本文研究了趋势膨胀对均衡预期稳定性的影响。该模型的经验上合理的校准表明,即使在由高趋势通货膨胀引起不确定性的情况下,基本的理性预期均衡也可能在预期上是稳定的。

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