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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control >Money And The Natural Rate Of Interest: Structural Estimates For The United States And The Euro Area
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Money And The Natural Rate Of Interest: Structural Estimates For The United States And The Euro Area

机译:货币与自然利率:美国和欧元区的结构估计

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摘要

We examine the role of money in three environments: the New Keynesian model with separable utility and static money demand; a nonseparable utility variant with habit formation; and a version with adjustment costs for holding real balances. The last two variants imply forward-looking behavior of real money balances, with forecasts of future interest rates entering current portfolio decisions. We conduct a structural econometric analysis of the U.S. and euro area economies. FIML estimates confirm the forward-looking character of money demand. A consequence is that real money balances are valuable in anticipating future variations in the natural interest rate.
机译:我们研究了货币在三种环境中的作用:具有可分离效用和静态货币需求的新凯恩斯模型;以及具有习惯养成的不可分离的效用变体;以及带有调整费用的版本,用于保存实际余额。最后两个变量表示真实货币余额的前瞻性行为,对未来利率的预测将进入当前的投资组合决策。我们对美国和欧元区经济进行结构经济计量分析。 FIML估算证实了货币需求的前瞻性。结果是,实际货币余额在预测自然利率的未来变化方面很有价值。

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