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Indeterminacy, intergenerational redistribution, endogenous longevity and human capital accumulation

机译:不确定性,代际重新分配,内生寿命和人力资本积累

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This paper sets up an OLG economy with endogenous life expectancy to study how fiscal policy that redistributes between generations can open the door to sunspot equilibria. Agents invest independently in their own human capital, produce and consume output, and receive a pension upon retirement. The model produces an expectations coordination problem that can explain significant differences in growth paths followed by otherwise identical countries. In particular, we show that our economy may be characterized by local indeterminacy of dynamic equilibria, and hence feature fluctuations which are driven by extrinsic uncertainty.
机译:本文建立了具有内生预期寿命的OLG经济,以研究代代之间重新分配的财政政策如何为黑子平衡打开大门。代理商独立地投资于自己的人力资本,生产和消费产出,并在退休时领取退休金。该模型产生了一个预期协调问题,可以解释增长路径的显着差异,而其他国家也一样。特别是,我们表明,我们的经济可能具有动态均衡的局部不确定性,因此具有由外部不确定性驱动的特征波动。

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