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Eductive expectations coordination on deterministic cycles in an economy with heterogeneous agents

机译:具有异构主体的经济中确定性周期的预期期望协调

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摘要

In this paper we study expectations coordination on a deterministic 2-cycle by an 'eductive' approach in which agents are concerned with forecasting the forecasts of others. This approach is grounded in some Common Knowledge assumptions. We consider an overlapping generations economy in which agents have heterogeneous utility functions. We show that locally eductively stable 2-cycles can exist when agents have stationary beliefs. We also show that heterogeneity may hinder eductive coordination.
机译:在本文中,我们通过“引诱”方法研究确定性2周期上的期望协调,在这种方法中,代理人关心预测其他人的预测。这种方法基于一些常识性假设。我们考虑代理具有不同效用函数的世代重叠经济。我们表明,当代理人具有固定信念时,可以存在局部感应稳定的2个周期。我们还表明,异质性可能会阻碍情感协调。

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