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Performance of inflation targeting based on constant interest rate projections

机译:基于恒定利率预测的通胀目标定位的效果

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摘要

Monetary policy is sometimes formulated in terms of a target level of inflation, a fixed time horizon and a constant interest rate that is anticipated to achieve the target at the specified horizon. These requirements lead to constant interest rate (CIR) instrument rules. Using the standard New Keynesian model, it is shown that some forms of CIR policy lead to both indeterminacy of equilibria and instability under adaptive learning. However, some other forms of CIR policy perform better. We also examine the properties of the different policy rules in the presence of inertial demand and price behaviour.
机译:有时根据通货膨胀的目标水平,固定的时间范围和恒定的利率制定货币政策,预计在指定的时间范围内可以实现目标。这些要求导致了恒定利率(CIR)工具规则。使用标准的新凯恩斯主义模型,表明在适应性学习下,某些形式的CIR策略会导致均衡的不确定性和不稳定性。但是,某些其他形式的CIR策略的效果更好。我们还检查了惯性需求和价格行为存在下不同政策规则的性质。

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