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Technological progress and regress in pre-industrial times

机译:前工业时代的技术进步与衰退

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This paper offers micro-foundations for the dynamic relationship between technology and population in the pre-industrial world, accounting for both technological progress and the hitherto neglected but common phenomenon of technological regress. A positive feedback between population and the adoption of new techniques that increase the division of labor explains technological progress. A transient shock to productivity or population induces the neglect of some techniques rendered temporarily unprofitable, which are therefore not transmitted to the next generation. Productivity remains constrained by the smaller stock of knowledge and technology has thereby regressed. A slow process of rediscovery is required for the economy to reach its previous level of technological sophistication and population size. The model is employed to analyze specific historical examples of technological regress. Inventions don’t just get adopted once and forever; they have to be constantly practised and transmitted, or useful techniques may be forgotten.
机译:本文为工业化前世界中技术与人口之间的动态关系提供了微观基础,并解释了技术进步和迄今为止被忽视但普遍存在的技术退化现象。人口与采用新技术增加劳动分工之间的积极反馈解释了技术的进步。对生产力或人口的短暂冲击导致对某些暂时无利可图的技术的忽视,因此这些技术不会传播给下一代。生产力仍然受到较少的知识储备的限制,从而降低了技术水平。要使经济达到以前的技术水平和人口规模,就需要一个缓慢的重新发现过程。该模型用于分析技术回归的特定历史示例。发明不仅会一劳永逸;必须不断地实践和传播它们,否则可能会忘记有用的技术。

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