Real Business Cycle Views of the Great Depression and Recent Events: A Review of Timothy J. Kehoe and Edward C. Prescott's Great Depressions of the Twentieth Century

Peter Temin

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Real Business Cycle Views of the Great Depression and Recent Events: A Review of Timothy J. Kehoe and Edward C. Prescott's Great Depressions of the Twentieth Century

机译：真实经济周期对大萧条和近期事件的看法：蒂莫西·基欧（Timothy J. Kehoe）和爱德华·普雷斯科特（Edward C. Prescott）对20世纪大萧条的回顾

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This book collects essays, most of which were published earlier, into an advertisement for real business cycle (RBC) analysis. Half of the essays discuss the Great Depression; half discuss events of the 1980s and 1990s. They all use the general equilibrium model of economic growth to analyze short-run fluctuations in the rate of economic growth of various countries. I find that the use of closed economy models without frictions is not useful for the analysis of short-run variations in the rate of economic growth. Almost all of these essays end by claiming that variations in the rate of GDP growth were due to changes in the rate of total factor productivity (TFP) growth. They do not provide any explanation for fluctuations in the rate of TFP growth, leaving the reader no closer to understanding these periods of depression and slow growth. I discuss in turn the essays on the Great Depression, the essays on more recent fluctuations, and the definition of "great depressions" used in this volume.

机译：本书收集了大部分早已发表的论文，并将其收入广告中，以进行实际商业周期（RBC）分析。一半的论文讨论了大萧条。一半讨论了1980年代和1990年代的事件。他们都使用经济增长的一般均衡模型来分析各国经济增长率的短期波动。我发现，使用没有摩擦的封闭经济模型对分析经济增长率的短期变化没有用。几乎所有这些文章都以声称GDP增长率的变化是由于全要素生产率（TFP）增长率的变化而结束的。他们没有为TFP增长率的波动提供任何解释，从而使读者无法更深入地了解这些抑郁和缓慢增长的时期。我依次讨论有关大萧条的文章，有关近期波动的文章以及本卷中使用的“大萧条”的定义。

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《Journal of Economic Literature》 |2008年第3期|669-684|共16页
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C., The Study of History: A Bibliographical Guide , 2nd ed., Manchester University Press, 2000, pp. xiv + 140, £40.00.ParkerChristopher, The English Idea of History from Coleridge to Collingwood , Ashgate Publishing, 2000, pp. vii + 244, £45.RichardsonR. C. (ed.), The Changing Face of English Local History , Ashgate, 2000, pp. viii + 218, £45.00.BarronW. R. J. (ed.), Arthur and the English: The Arthurian Legend in Medieval English Life and Literature , University of Wales Press, 1999, pp. 398, £35.00.ComensoliViviana and RussellAnne (eds), Enacting Gender on the English Renaissance Stage , University of Illinois Press, 1999, pp. 270, £18.95; SaundersEve Rachel, Gender and Literacy on Stage in Early Modern England , Cambridge University Press, 1999, pp. 260, £35.BerryPhilippa, Shakespeare's Feminine Endings , Routledge, 1999, pp. 197, £15.99 pb.; BellIlona, Elizabethan Women and the Poetry of Courtship , Cambridge University Press, 1998, pp. 262, £35.00.NorbrookDavid, Writing the English Republic: Poetry, Rhetoric and Politics 1627–1660 , Cambridge University Press, 1999, pp. xiii + 509, £40.FischHarold, New Stories for Old: Biblical Patterns in the Novel , Macmillan, 1998, pp. x + 236, £42.50; FischHarold, The Biblical Presence in Shakespeare, Milton and Blake , Clarendon Press, 1999, pp. xi + 330, £45.MarottiArthur F. (ed.), Catholicism and Anti-Catholicism in Early Modern English Texts , Macmillan, 1999, pp. xvii + 266, £47.50; ShellAlison, Catholicism, Controversy and the English Literary Imagination, 1558–1660 , Cambridge University Press, 1999, pp. xi + 309, £37.50.JamoussiZouheir, Primogeniture and Entail in England: A Survey of their History and Representation in Literature , Centre de Publication Universitaire, Tunis, 1999, pp. 293, 8 DT.MurphRoxane C., The English Civil War through the Restoration in Fiction: An Annotated Bibliography , Greenwood Press, Westport, CT., 2000, pp. viii + 349, £63.95.HammondPaul, Dryden and the Traces of Classical Rome , Clarendon Press, Oxford, 1999, pp. 305, £45.00.LevineJoseph M., Between the Ancients and the Moderns: Baroque Culture in Restoration England , Yale University Press, 1999, pp. xiv + 279, £27.50.TaylorAnya, Bacchus in Romantic England: Writers and Drink, 1780–1830 , Macmillan, 1999, pp. xi + 264, £47.50.MandellLaura, Misogynous Economies: The Business of Literature in Eighteenth-century Britain , University of Kentucky, 1999, pp. x + 228, $42.00.BainesPaul, The House of Forgery in Eighteenth-century Britain , Ashgate, 1999, pp. viii + 195, £47.50.MunnsJessica and RichardsPenny (eds), The Clothes that Wear Us , Newark, University of Delaware Press, 1999, pp. 362, £37.McCalmanIain (ed.), An Oxford Companion to the Romantic Age: British Culture, 1776–1832 , Oxford University Press, 1999, p. xii + 780, £85.BrydenInga and FloydJanet (eds), Domestic Space: Reading the Nineteenth-century Interior , Manchester University Press, 1999, pp. xii + 219, £40.00; KiddAlan and NichollsDavid (eds), Gender, Civic Culture and Consumerism: Middle-class Identity in Britain 1800–1940 , Manchester University Press, 1999, pp. xiv + 223, £46.00, pb. £14.99.SchadJohn Victorians in Theory: From Derrida to Browning , Manchester University Press, 1999, pp. x + 180, £40.MorseDavid, The Age of Virtue: British Culture from the Restoration to Romanticism , Macmillan, 2000, pp. viii + 330, £45.KlagesMary, Woeful Afflictions: Disability and Sentimentality in Victorian America , University of Pennsylvania Press, 1999, pp. 211, $36.50.OudittSharon, Women Writers of the First World War: An Annotated Bibliography , Routledge, 2000, pp. 230, £75; TyleeClaire with TurnerElaine and CardinalAgnes (eds), War Plays by Women: An International Anthology , Routledge, 2000, pp. 225, £16.99 pb.TaylorJohn A., Diana, Self-Interest, and British National Identity , Praeger, 2000, pp. 169, £44.95.EarnshawSteven, The Pub in Literature , Manchester University Press, 2000, pp. x + 294, £45 and £15.99 pb.KlausH. 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机译：点评：历史的研究：一个书目指南，历史的英语理念从柯勒律治到科林伍德，英国当地历史，亚瑟和他的英语变脸：亚瑟王传说中中世纪英国生活和文学，在英国文艺复兴时期颁布性别舞台上，莎士比亚的女性结局，写英文共和国：诗歌，修辞学和政治学1627年至1660年，对旧的新故事：在小说中，天主教和反天主教在早期现代英语文本，长子继承权和继承权在英国圣经模式：综述文学中的历史和代表，通过对小说恢复的英语内战：一个注释的参考书目，戴安娜，自我利益和英国国家身份，古人与现代人之间的古典罗马的痕迹和古典罗马：巴洛克文化在恢复英格兰，浪漫英格兰的Bacchus：1780-1830，厌恶经济学的作家和饮料：十八世纪的文学业务ritain，伪造的房子在十八世纪的英国，穿着我们的衣服，牛津伴侣的浪漫时代：英国文化，1776 - 1832，国内空间：阅读十九世纪的内部，维多利亚人理论上：从德里达到布朗，美德的年龄：英国文化从恢复到浪漫主义，悲惨的痛苦：维多利亚州的残疾和感情，妇女作家第一次世界大战：一个注释的书目，文学中的酒吧，英国工业小说，人类的缘故想要：市场苏格里希第德森市场的经济和美学。 C.，历史的研究：一个书目指南，第二版，曼彻斯特大学出版社，2000，第十四+ 140，£40.00.ParkerChristopher，历史的英语从理念到柯勒律治科林伍德，Ashgate出版社，2000，页。 VII + 244，£45.Richardsonr。 C.（ed。），英语当地历史的变化面孔，ashgate，2000，pp。viii + 218，£45.00.00.00.Parronw。 RJ（编辑），亚瑟和他的英文：亚瑟王传说中中世纪英国生活和文学，威尔士出版社，1999年大学，第398，£35.00.ComensoliViviana和RussellAnne（EDS），英国文艺复兴舞台上颁布性别，伊利诺伊大学出版社，1999，第270页，18.95英镑; SaunderseVe Rachel，在早期现代英格兰舞台上的雷切尔，性别和识字，剑桥大学出版社，1999，PP。260，£35.BerringPhilippa，莎士比亚的女性化的遗址，Routledge，1999，PP。197，£15.99 PB。 Bellilona，伊丽莎白裔女性和甲师诗歌，剑桥大学出版社，1998，PP。262，£35.00.norbrookdavid，写英国共和国：诗歌，修辞和政治1627-1660，剑桥大学出版社，1999，PP。XIII + 509 ，£40.FischHarold，对于旧的新故事：在小说，Macmillan出版社，1998年，第圣经模式X + 236，£42.50; Fischharold，Shakespeare，Milton和Blake的圣经存在，1999年，PP。Xi + 330，£45.marottiarthur F.（Ed。），天主教和早期现代英语文本，Macmillan，1999，PP的天主教和反天主教。XVII + 266，£47.50; Shellalison，天主教，争议和英国文学想象，1558-1660，剑桥大学出版社，1999，PP。XI + 309，£37.50.Jamoussizouheir，Punigoghts和Envland在英国：他们在文学中的历史和代表调查，中心出版大学，突尼斯，1999，PP。293,8 DT.Murphorn Xane C.，英语内战通过虚构的恢复：一个注释书目，格林伍德出版社，韦斯特波特，CT，CT。，2000，PP。VIII + 349，£63.95 .HammondPaul，德莱顿和古典罗马，克拉伦登出版社，牛津，1999年的痕迹，第305，£45.00.LevineJoseph M.，古人和现代人之间：巴洛克文化恢复英格兰，耶鲁大学出版社，1999，页。 XIV + 279，£27.50.50.50.5.50.Tayloranya，浪漫英格兰的Bacchus：作家和饮料，1780-1830，Macmillan，1999，PP。Xi + 264，£47.50.Mandelllaura，罕有内容：十八世纪英国的文学业务，肯塔基州大学，1999，PP。X + 228，$ 42.00.Bainespaul，在十八世纪的英国伪造之家，阿什捷，1999年，PP。第八次+ 195，£47.50.50.50.50.Munnsjessica和Richardspenny（EDS），穿着我们，纽瓦克，特拉华大学出版社，1999，PP。362，£ 37.McCalmanIain（编辑），牛津伴侣对浪漫的年龄：英国文化，1776年至1832年，牛津大学出版社，1999，页。 XII + 780，£85.Brydeninga和Floydjanet（EDS），国内空间：阅读十九世纪内部，曼彻斯特大学出版社，1999，PP。XII + 219，£40.00; KiddAlan和NichollsDavid（EDS），性别，公民文化和消费：在英国，1800年至1940年中产阶层的身份，曼彻斯特大学出版社，1999年，第十四+ 223，£46.00，PB。 14.99英镑的理论上，从Derrida到Browning，曼彻斯特大学出版社，1999年，PP。X + 180，£40.Moreedavid，富于浪漫主义，2000，2000，PP。八+ 330，£45.Klesmary，悲惨的痛苦：宾夕法尼亚大学的维多利亚州美国的残疾和感情，1999年，第211次，第一次第一次世界大战的妇女作家：一名注册参考书目，rutledge，2000，pp。230，75英镑; TyleeClaire与Turnerelaine和Cardinalagnes（EDS），战争扮演妇女：国际选集，Routledge，2000，PP。225，£16.99 PB.Taylorjohn A.，戴安娜，自身利益和英国国家身份，Praeger，2000，PP 。169，£44.95.EARNShawsteven，文学中的酒吧，曼彻斯特大学出版社，2000，PP。X + 294，£45和15.99英镑PB.Klaush。古斯塔夫和骑士。（EDS），英国工业小说，威尔士大学出版社，2000，PP。VIII + 212，£14.99 PB。 Balchjack S.，伊利诺伊大学高中中午的灯，2000年，PP。XL + 404，$ 19.45 PB。康罗伊士队，伊利诺伊大学的世界胜利，2000年，PP。XXXV + 348，17.95磅PB.Gagnierregenia，人类想要的缘故：市场学会的经济学和美学，芝加哥大学出版社，2000，PP。352，£ 10.50 PB。

Real Business Cycle Views of the Great Depression and Recent Events: A Review of Timothy J. Kehoe and Edward C. Prescott's Great Depressions of the Twentieth Century

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