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Fuel for economic growth?

机译:经济增长的动力?

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Using data for 134 countries, we document that countries deriving a larger share of their energy from fossil fuel are richer and grow faster. We then set up an endogenous growth model where final output is produced with a non-energy and two substitutable energy intermediate goods: fossil fuel and biofuel. With non-energy and energy goods being gross complements, and with higher costs for improving the energy efficiency for biofuel than for fossil fuel, there exist two balanced growth paths: one with low growth where energy is derived from biofuel and one with high growth where energy is sourced from fossil fuel. Heterogeneity in initial technology levels can generate the Great Divergence. The demand for fossil fuel in technologically advanced countries drives up its price, thereby reducing demand for fossil fuel in less advanced countries that instead choose the more stagnant energy input. (C) 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译:使用134个国家/地区的数据,我们证明,从化石燃料中获取较大份额能源的国家更加富裕,增长速度更快。然后,我们建立了一个内生增长模型,在该模型中,使用非能源和两种可替代能源的中间产品(化石燃料和生物燃料)产生最终产出。由于非能源和能源产品是总的补充,并且提高生物燃料能效的成本高于化石燃料,因此存在两种平衡的增长途径:一种是低增长,其中生物燃料来自能源;另一种是高增长,其中能源来自生物燃料。能源来自化石燃料。初始技术水平的异质性会产生巨大差异。技术先进国家对化石燃料的需求推高了价格,从而降低了欠发达国家选择了停滞不前的能源输入的化石燃料需求。 (C)2019 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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